Heisenberg – Zoltan Pozsar On Money Market ‘Singularity’ And War Finance

Intro: “If you’re concerned the market will choke on the coming deluge of Treasury bills thereby putting upward pressure on global dollar funding rates, you should probably note that Zoltan Pozsar does not share your concerns.

And, as many market participants are aware, if what’s under discussion is money markets, and your view doesn’t conform to Pozsar’s, that divergence of opinion is tantamount to you being wrong.

In his latest note, out Thursday, the man who’s been variously described as the “oracle” of funding markets (or the “spider in the middle of the web”), builds on a foundation laid in his last two pieces, in the course of explaining why the market will digest $1.25 trillion in T-bill supply over the next two months with relative alacrity…”

“If the Fed is backstopping the credit market, why wouldn’t it backstop its natural habitat?”

Zoltan Pozsar On Money Market ‘Singularity’ And War Finance

Wednesday’s links

  1. The world needs a new attitude towards debt – FT editorial
  2. House Democrats release new $3 trillion bill in response to coronavirus – WSJ
  3. Is the Fed really providing “support”? – Jeff Snider at Alhambra
  4. CLOs: ground zero for the next stage of the financial crisis? – Financial Times
  5. Fed chairman Powell torpedoed the notion of negative rates. But said more was needed. That is most likely “yield curve control” – Samuel Rines, Avalon
  6. Traders Keep Bets on Negative Fed Rate in 2021Alex Harris, Bloomberg

Tuesday’s links

  1. World’s Biggest Wealth Fund Faces Record $37 Billion Withdrawal – Bloomberg
  2. China wants to make the yuan a central-bank favourite – Economist
  3. Fed Says It Will Begin Buying Corporate-Debt ETFs – “…The preponderance of ETF holdings will consist of those mainly exposed to U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds, with the remainder largely exposed to U.S. high-yield corporate bonds…” – Bloomberg
  4. Why I Cashed Out of the Covid-19 Rally – “…The initial stock-market fall looked about right. The S&P 500 fell 34% between Feb. 19 and March 23, on the first estimates of the severe economic damage that Covid-19 and the measures needed to contain it would cause. What’s perplexing is what happened after that. Between March 23 and the end of last week, the market rose 31%…” – Bloomberg Opinion
  5. Global economic outlook still worsening, says IMF – “…With the crisis still spreading, the outlook is worse than our already pessimistic projection. Without medical solutions on a global scale, for many economies a more adverse development is likely…” – Financial Times
  6. Druckenmiller said “the prospect of a V-shaped recovery in the U.S. is ‘a fantasy’ and the risk-reward calculation for equities is the worst he’s seen in his lifetime” – Bloomberg